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EPJ Data Science
Figure 2 | EPJ Data Science

Figure 2

From: Temperature impact on the economic growth effect: method development and model performance evaluation with subnational data in China

Figure 2

National growth-rate projections (gY) combining econometric estimates of the impact of temperature on economic growth with temperature rise projections of 0.5°C to 6.5°C relative to 2005 levels. (a) cubic models, (b) spline models, and (c) RFs. The plot shows the projected relative impact (dots) together with the 2.5%–97.5% percentile range (darker shading) as the confidence intervals. Lagged effects are indicated by dot color, blue dots for no-lag, and red dots for 2-lags, together with the 2.5%–97.5% percentile range for uncertainty from the projected relative impact (lighter shading)

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