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Table 12 MAPE accuracies for the proxy-only models for Clinic 1

From: Forecasting patient flows with pandemic induced concept drift using explainable machine learning

 

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

Overall mean

 

MAPE

R

MAPE

R

MAPE

R

MAPE

R

MAPE

R

MAPE

R

MAPE

R

CatBoost

16.9

4.5

14.0

4.1

14.0

4.1

16.5

3.7

12.8

3.6

14.0

3.8

14.8

4.0

Random Forest

16.3

4.2

14.0

4.2

14.3

4.3

16.3

3.7

13.0

3.8

13.3

3.3

14.6

4.0

ARIMA

9.7

2.0

9.7

2.5

9.0

2.3

13.1

2.6

10.8

2.7

10.5

2.4

10.5

2.4

Prophet

8.5

1.7

8.4

1.9

8.4

2.1

13.3

2.8

10.2

2.6

14.2

3.5

10.2

2.3

Voting

11.0

2.6

9.7

2.3

9.7

2.3

12.4

2.1

10.0

2.2

11.3

2.0

10.6

2.3