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Table 8 The Short-Term ARIMA model best parameter combinations. Similar to the Long-Term configurations, a validation set was used to determine the combinations for each topic and platform

From: Experimental evaluation of baselines for forecasting social media timeseries

Domain

Topic

(p, d, q)

Twitter

YouTube

Vz19

arrests

(24, 1, 24)

(48, 2, 72)

international/aid

(24, 1, 48)

(72, 1, 24)

maduro/dictator

(24, 2, 72)

(72, 2, 72)

military

(24, 1, 24)

(24, 2, 72)

other/chavez

(48, 2, 72)

(24, 1, 96)

CPEC

benefits/development/roads

(96, 1, 96)

(48, 2, 24)

controversies/china/border

(96, 1, 96)

(24, 1, 24)

controversies/china/uighur

(96, 2, 48)

(48, 2, 96)

controversies/pakistan/baloch

(24, 2, 48)

(24, 1, 24)

leadership/sharif

(24, 1, 72)

(96, 1, 96)

BRIA

covid

(24, 2, 24)

(48, 1, 72)

debt

(48, 2, 24)

(72, 1, 48)

infrastructure

(48, 2, 24)

(48, 2, 96)

mistreatment

(24, 2, 96)

(24, 2, 24)

travel

(24, 2, 24)

(48, 2, 24)