From: Experimental evaluation of baselines for forecasting social media timeseries
Domain | Platform | ARIMA | Hawkes | Shifted | Hawkes + ARIMA | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vz19 | 0.244 | 0.2307 | 0.2848 | 0.2405 | Hawkes | |
YouTube | 0.2272 | 0.2811 | 0.2352 | 0.2565 | ARIMA | |
CPEC | 0.3637 | 0.2001 | 0.1702 | 0.266 | Shifted | |
YouTube | 0.3087 | 0.2493 | 0.2083 | 0.2337 | Shifted | |
BRIA | 0.3536 | 0.2183 | 0.2249 | 0.2032 | Hawkes + ARIMA | |
YouTube | 0.3682 | 0.2413 | 0.19 | 0.2004 | Shifted | |
All-Domains | All-Platforms | 0.3109 | 0.2368 | 0.2189 | 0.2334 | Shifted |