Figure 8

Controlling for initial novelty, the influence probability increases at first with additional weeks on chart, then after a certain amount of time it peaks and begins decreasing. For lyric novelty, the peak occurs at roughly 10 weeks. For MIR novelty, the change in influence probability relative to time on chart varies depending on the initial novelty score. For higher initial novelty scores, we see the peak influence probability occur after a longer period of time on the chart