Table 6 Prediction results in 5 country elections from 2016 and 2017
From: Estimating ideology and polarization in European countries using Facebook data
Country | Date | Country Ideology | Dalton Polarization | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real | Pred | Error | Real | Pred | Error | ||
Germany | 2017-09-24 | 5.280 | 5.738 | −0.458 | 4.433 | 5.000 | −0.567 |
Ireland | 2016-02-26 | 4.955 | 4.927 | 0.028 | 3.618 | 3.226 | 0.392 |
Lithuania | 2016-10-23 | 5.261 | 5.434 | −0.173 | 4.237 | 3.904 | 0.328 |
Slovakia | 2016-03-05 | 6.164 | 6.379 | −0.215 | 3.919 | 3.849 | 0.071 |
Spain | 2016-06-26 | 4.935 | 5.120 | −0.184 | 4.930 | 4.264 | 0.667 |
Country Ideology | Dalton Polarization | ||||||
RMSE | 0.253 | 0.454 | |||||