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Table 2 Forecasting results

From: Activism via attention: interpretable spatiotemporal learning to forecast protest activities

 

Charlottesville

Ferguson I

Ferguson II

F-score

AUC

F-score

AUC

F-score

AUC

LR[tem]

0.200

0.696

0.103

0.733

0.343

0.752

LR[s,tem]

0.182

0.789

0.259

0.766

0.327

0.789

LR[s,tem,st]

0.200

0.734

0.230

0.722

0.314

0.773

SVM[tem]

0.200

0.818

0.000

0.791

0.400

0.816

SVM[s,tem]

0.186

0.809

0.000

0.796

0.408

0.837

SVM[s,tem,st]

0.000

0.782

0.000

0.754

0.313

0.780

LSTM

0.240

0.752

0.415

0.801

0.417

0.819

S + LSTM

0.267

0.778

0.423

0.804

0.439

0.838

S + LSTM (GL)

0.308

0.793

0.423

0.805

0.440

0.839

RMTFL

0.182

0.663

0.250

0.703

0.250

0.829

CMTFL-1

0.182

0.664

0.350

0.711

0.316

0.805

CMTFL-2

0.200

0.661

0.333

0.711

0.324

0.815

ActAttn (w/o GL)

0.308

0.830

0.459

0.820

0.464

0.849

ActAttn (w/o stAttn)

0.324

0.797

0.406

0.783

0.409

0.842

ActAttn (w/o spAttn)

0.333

0.836

0.448

0.812

0.448

0.846

ActAttn

0.400

0.843

0.462

0.822

0.471

0.853