Figure 3

Coordination and subsequent protest increase. Coordination on Twitter is strongly associated with number of protests on the following day. Points are color coded by country, and a locally weighted polynomial regression line with 95% confidence region shows a significant relationship between coordination and protest across all observations. The regression results show that hashtag coordination is strongly associated with protests the following day (Model 1). The only other variable that correlates with protests is the percent of tweets containing a hashtag (Model 2), but that relationship disappears when we include the coordination measure in the model (Model 3).