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Table 1 The aggregated results of the evaluation indexes of two population-level models and null models

From: Science as exploration in a knowledge landscape: tracing hotspots or seeking opportunity?

Id

Network Type

Robust Exp.

Model

Model Para.

\(R^{2}\)

RMSE

Spearman Coef.

Pearson Coef.

CPC

CPCd

CPL

1

Grid

BSL

Baseline

-

0.088

269.57

0.475

0.324

0.391

0.006

1

2

Grid

BSL

Gravity

exp

0.888

94.625

0.906

0.944

0.8

0.011

1

3

Grid

BSL

Gravity

pl

0.887

94.778

0.935

0.943

0.82

0.011

1

4

Grid

BSL

Radiation

-

−0.541

350.498

0.843

0.729

0.534

0.007

0.755

5

Grid

Rand1

Gravity

exp

0.878

98.478

0.913

0.94

0.794

0.011

1

6

Grid

Rand1

Gravity

pl

0.892

92.805

0.932

0.945

0.818

0.011

1

7

Grid

Rand2

Gravity

exp

0.527

1914

0.761

0.73

0.572

0.011

1

8

Grid

Rand2

Gravity

pl

0.527

191

0.761

0.731

0.572

0.011

1

9

Grid

Rand3

Gravity

exp

0.529

193.76

0.762

0.732

0.573

0.011

1

10

Grid

Rand3

Gravity

pl

0.53

193.635

0.762

0.733

0.573

0.011

1

11

Grid

Scale1

Gravity

exp

0.828

22.865

0.775

0.919

0.76

0.065

1

12

Grid

Scale1

Gravity

pl

0.866

20.201

0.797

0.931

0.785

0.069

1

13

Grid

Scale1

Radiation

-

−2.284

100.007

0.645

0.67

0.431

0.039

0.494

14

Grid

Scale2

Gravity

exp

0.878

502.72

0.954

0.938

0.839

0.001

1

15

Grid

Scale2

Gravity

pl

0.851

555.99

0.968

0.923

0.842

0.001

1

16

Grid

Scale2

Radiation

-

0.18

1304.34

0.92

0.713

0.603

0.001

0.923

17

Voronoi

BSL

Baseline

-

0.092

128.097

0.421

0.304

0.424

0.008

1

18

Voronoi

BSL

Gravity

exp

0.836

54.514

0.857

0.917

0.79

0.017

1

19

Voronoi

BSL

Gravity

pl

0.769

64.61

0.866

0.879

0.77

0.018

1

20

Voronoi

BSL

Radiation

-

−1.685

220.29

0.827

0.679

0.488

0.011

0.761

21

Voronoi

Rand1

Gravity

exp

0.821

56.869

0.863

0.911

0.784

0.018

1

22

Voronoi

Rand1

Gravity

pl

0.781

62.963

0.866

0.884

0.768

0.018

1

23

Voronoi

Rand2

Gravity

exp

0.4

104.114

0.648

0.642

0.539

0.015

1

24

Voronoi

Rand2

Gravity

pl

0.401

104.039

0.648

0.642

0.539

0.015

1

25

Voronoi

Rand3

Gravity

exp

0.401

103.997

0.649

0.643

0.539

0.015

1

26

Voronoi

Rand3

Gravity

pl

0.403

103.886

0.649

0.644

0.54

0.015

1

27

Voronoi

Scale1

Gravity

exp

0.745

14.502

0.766

0.874

0.746

0.08

1

28

Voronoi

Scale1

Gravity

pl

0.708

15.523

0.76

0.845

0.748

0.088

1

29

Voronoi

Scale1

Radiation

-

−5.169

71.326

0.669

0.581

0.38

0.046

0.476

30

Voronoi

Scale2

Gravity

exp

0.836

54.287

0.857

0.917

0.79

0.017

1

31

Voronoi

Scale2

Gravity

pl

0.776

63.388

0.868

0.883

0.771

0.019

1

32

Voronoi

Scale2

Radiation

-

−1.702

220.143

0.829

0.682

0.488

0.011

0.762

33

Voronoi

Scale3

Gravity

exp

0.836

54.349

0.857

0.917

0.79

0.017

1

34

Voronoi

Scale3

Gravity

pl

0.769

64.412

0.866

0.879

0.769

0.018

1

35

Voronoi

Scale3

Radiation

-

−1.701

220.249

0.827

0.681

0.488

0.011

0.762

  1. Note: 1. Spearman and Pearson coefficients in the experiment p-value are less than 0.001. 2. Abbreviations of BSL: benchmark experiment under the initial setting, exp: exponential function, pl: power-law function, Rand: randomized experiment, Scale: scale expansion/reduction experiment. 3. The bold number indicates the best-performing results of the models within the same group.